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20121105
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CNBC
Nov 5, 2012 1:00pm EST
only leading in two of the swing states, we're talking about florida with 29 electoral votes, and north carolina with 15. you add those together to the base states that mitt romney has. that only makes 235 electoral votes. president obama with 303. that doesn't mean mitt romney cannot win. he's very close in some other states. in colorado, for example, in new hampshire, he -- but he's going to have to make up a lot of ground in a lot of places to get there and the last swing state polls we showed showed six. point lead in ohio. two-point lead for the president in florida. one-point lead in virginia. big hill for mitt romney to claim clitomorrow night. >>> let's go to the finance.yahoo.com poll. the aftermath from sandy. do you think the pace of the recovery will help or hurt either candidate? go to vote at finance.yahoo.com. josh, do you think at this point the voters especially in our north carolina of the woods will use this storm as an issue as they cast their ballots or not? >> it is certainly going to be a matter of consequence but the real important question here is turnout.
CNBC
Nov 5, 2012 5:00pm EST
crisscrossing the swing states for the last 24 hours -- wisconsin, florida, virginia, ohio, all the places that matter. let's take a look first at the national polls. our last poll shows 48% for obama, 47% for mitt romney. the president inching ahead. the same thing has happened in some other national polls. more importantly for the president, look at the swing state numbers. start with the state of virginia, 13 electoral votes. the president's got a one-point lead, 48-47. in florida, with 29 electoral votes, a state mitt romney absolutely has to have, president obama leads by two points-47. and in ohio, the ultimate hinge point in this election, another state that mitt romney absolutely believes that he needs to have to get to 270 electoral votes. he is down 6, 51-45. now, of course, all of these things depend on how you define likely voters. the romney campaign says the polls are not capturing republican enthusiasm. the proof is going to come tomorrow night. >> in your view, john, what are the odds that we will have a decisive winner come wednesday morning? >> i think the odds are very s
CNBC
Nov 5, 2012 2:00pm EST
. let's go down to hillsboro county in florida. this is tampa. it is where republicans held their convention. that's not an accident there. it is the beginning of the i-4 corridor across the middle of the state. hill b hillsboro county is the state president bush carried with the majority in 2004. president obama came back and carried hillsboro county in 2008. both candidates are focused on that county as well. then finally in the state of ohio, probably the hinge state in this election with 18 electoral votes. look in the center of the state. franklin county which is where columbus is. now it tends to be a democratic county. john kerry carried it with 54% in 2004. it has ohio state, has the state capital there. but that wasn't enough for him to carry the state. barack obama carried it with 60% of the vote. that is the formula for democratic success. mitt romney's trying very hard to prevent him from rolling out margins like that. in fact, mitt romney's going back there this afternoon. both candidates have spend tremendous amount of time. >> how key is it that we get voter partici
CNBC
Nov 5, 2012 12:00pm EST
virginia. key battleground, 13 electoral votes at stake. 48, 47 bavmt look at florida. even bigger. of course the election that deadlocked the 2000 campaign. 49-47 obama. and the state of ohio which most see as the hinge state for the election. 18 electoral votes. president obama up 51-45 among likely voters. we don't know the composition of turnout. white versus african-american and hispanic turnout. these key. and the proportion of senior citizens versus young voters. obama's base but they have not shown a tremendous amount of interest. >> pennsylvania had become a swing state. do you believe it? >> i don't believe so. mitt romney doesn't have as many options as president obama does. he's making a late play to move the numbers. >> are we going to have an answer on wednesday or is this going to drag out? >> i think we'll have an answer. i have been saying by midnight. some of my colleagues say it may take longer to call some states. i think if you look at the consistency of the way battleground states tend to fall it is not likely we'll in b in a multi day process. >> you have a quest
CNBC
Nov 5, 2012 4:00am EST
florida, it's almost impossible he can win the presidency almost by adding in any other combination of states. but there's likely to be gridlock in congress on again for another at least two years, possibly four years. if that's the case, either romney or obama will find their ability quite circumscribed. but there are key areas where either administration would follow fairly similar policies and they are related to expiration for oil and gas and production of oil and gas. it's forgotten now that a couple of months before the gulf of mexico disaster, the bp disaster in 2010, obama had opened up substantial areas off the atlantic coast of the u.s. more region ofs of the gulf of mexico and i think the west coast, as well, to exploration efforts. in other words, the obama administration was of the gulf and i think the west coast, as well, to exploration efforts. in other words, the obama administration was committed to increases production to help towards the long term goal of redur reducing energy import independence. that's a sentiment that rochl a romney agrees to. he would get in the
CNBC
Nov 5, 2012 4:00pm EST
, florida is the big deal here. you can see with our developing storm off the carolina coast we're expecting showers. and thunderstorms over florida. plus we may even see a little bit more rain than what we have here across southern virginia, north carolina, especially later on in the day. this is going to make a fast transition up the east coast, as we get in towards wednesday. temperatures won't be incredibly cold in the south. as a matter of fact, 50s, 60s, 70s, whether you're in the rain or not will be even slate. here's the timing on wednesday, getting into more of the storm because really tuesday's issues are going to be virginia and florida in terms of how the weather's going to impact. but florida, of course, will be out of that on wednesday. but virginia, you'll be in this. parts of new jersey. notice here, we will bring all this rain, all the way up into new england as well. and this will be heavy wind-swept rain. those areas trying to get power back on may have to deal with rain. one of the new things we're looking at here with these models is the fact that the low itsel
CNBC
Nov 5, 2012 6:00am EST
president in most cases. reuters is reporting similar margins in florida, virginia, colorado and ohio. >> governor romney has been having a tough time here in ohio because everybody knows he was against saving the auto industry. you don't scare people just to scare up some votes. >> i can't wait for us to get started. he's hoping we'll settle. americans don't settle. we build, we aspire, we dream, we listen to that voice that says we can do better. >> john harwood will join us with more. and then we'll focus on pot ticks with jack welch. romney campaign adviser senator rob portman and roger altman. so obviously a full lineup to get through all of this. andrew and joe, back over to you. >> let's check on the markets this morning. futures are indicated lower. as i've been pointing out for a while, there is a labor day indicator that jim stack and others have pointed to. and 25 out of 28 times, if the dow jones industrial average was below where it was the friday before labor day, the incumbent loses. and that number 13, 091 and the dow closed at 13,093. so two points above. >> do y
CNBC
Nov 5, 2012 3:00pm EST
clear politics average of polls. that's north carolina and florida. all the others, iowa, colorado, new hampshire, ohio, the rest of that set of battle ground states are all leading for obama. now, many of them are close, but if mitt romney only carries florida and north carolina among those battleground states, he's only 235 electoral votes. what he has to do is put together in this final sprint victories in states like virginia, like in ohio, like wisconsin, like colorado. that's the way he could get to 270 electoral votes. we'll see whether the two candidates turn out machines produce the way they have hoped they will. and i talked to someone in the romney campaign today who said the polls have simply not captured the republican intensity. we'll find out tomorrow whether that intensity is actually superior to the democrats. >>. >> thank you. candidates battling it out into the final hour, for sure. what is wall street expecting to see from president romney versus candidate romney? will he be harder on china? a lot of questions. >> mike satolli from yahoo! finance says no. he see
CNBC
Nov 5, 2012 9:00am EST
florida. one that mitt romney is counting on as a lynchpin of the base. 29 electoral votes. president obama up among likely voters 49-47. in ohio, the state most look at as the potential tipping point. president obama has a six-point lead. he's gone hard on the auto bailout and hitting mitt romney. that's a point of contention. because ohio has been such a tough nut for the romney campaign to crack, that's a reason they are making a late play into pennsylvania. it depends on turnout organization, especially the composition of the electorate. what portion of white voters versus hispanics. definitely a lower level of intensity and young people. barack obama dominates among young people. mitt romney among seniors who are more motivated to vote. how much will that carry the day? we'll find out tomorrow. >> if you're looking for an early tell tomorrow, if you could only look at one state early on, virginia. if it's decisive either way does that suggest the rest of the night collapses in that direction? >> almost in any of the battleground states other than ohio which is an outlier goes in
Search Results 0 to 8 of about 9